Inflation in the United States has Decreased

Question

I do not agree with this claim. Prices in the United States have rather increased by a margin rather than decreased. Even though ads may show good deals or cheap products, that doesn't represent the market as a whole. These prices are gonna continue to go up and have a negative effect on the economy in the future, as stated by the International Monetary Fund organization.

Answer 1

The claim that “Inflation in the United States has decreased” is partly true but needs context. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the annual inflation rate peaked at about 9.1% in June 2022, the highest level in four decades. Since then, it has steadily fallen, reaching around 3.0% by September 2025 (BLS). This decline means the rate of inflation, the speed at which prices rise, has slowed, but overall prices remain high. Reports from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Reuters also confirm that the U.S. has experienced a faster cooling of inflation than many other countries, mainly due to Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and easing supply chain pressures (IMF.org, Reuters, 2025). However, a slower inflation rate doesn’t mean prices are falling, only that they are rising more slowly. So the claim is mostly true, since inflation has clearly decreased compared to 2022, but it can be misleading if interpreted as meaning prices have gone down.

Sources:
International Monetary Fund. World Economic Outlook: Countering Inflation While Supporting Growth. IMF, Oct. 2025, https://www.imf.org

United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. Consumer Price Index Summary. BLS, Sept. 2025, https://www.bls.gov/

“U.S. Goods Inflation Lower Than Other Countries.” The White House, 9 Sept. 2025, https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/09/u-s-goods-inflation-lower-than-other-countries/

Answer 2

This claim is false, the US inflation has actually gone up 0.3% from September 2024 to September 2025. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics stated in their report, “The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in September, after 0.4 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. Note that September CPI data collection was completed before the lapse in appreciations.”. It is important to note that we only have data from September and not October. The report for October will be released November 13th at 8:30 am.

Sources:

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm#:~:text=Food%20The%20index%20for%20food,over%20the%20last%2012%20months. 

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Release Calendar: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm

Comments

This was a great use of the statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. I felt like it really strengthened your overall fact-check. I feel you could have explained the 0.3% inflation increase with more context as well. This would help others understand the broader effects within this increase. Great answer.

---

You made a good point here. Yes it's true that inflation actually went up 0.3% in September, and the yearly rate’s around 3.0% according to the BLS. Your sources definitely proved that right. And yes I agree that, since we only have data through September, we’ll have to wait for the October report to see if things do actually change.

---

This was a very good fact check, I really liked the source that you used and it seems trustworthy. I like how you put effort into the fact check to make it seem professional.

Answer 3

This claim is false. Inflation has risen from from 2.9% to 3%, according to CNN. Gas price inflation sits at 4.1% overall. This rise in inflation is not unexpected, given new tariff policies that affect the price of foreign goods, but it is worrying. Also according to CNN, the average American family is spending $1,043 more per month than they did in September 2021. The source of this claim is traceable to several pages on the official White House website, which has released several misleading headlines, one of which reads, "Inflation Remains Low as Democrat Shutdown Threatens Progress." The article listed in this factcheck request also comes from the official White House website. The president has also made a number of false or misleading comments about the economy, such as "under my leadership, energy costs are down," and "grocery prices are down" (CBS). According to this CBS article, all of these claims are false. Prices for food at home increased by 0.6% in August, which was the fastest monthly rise in nearly three years. Residential electricity costs were 6.2% higher in August 2025 than they were a year earlier, while natural gas is up 13.8%.

In a nutshell, much of the information released by the White House press office is misleading or exaggerated, likely intended to cast a positive light on the Trump administration, which controls the press office. As for the claim that inflation has gone down, it is unequivocally false.

My sources: 

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fact-checking-trumps-recent-claims-about-the-economy/

I got the information about the false claims made by the president from this article. 

https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/24/economy/us-cpi-consumer-prices-inflation-september

This article provided information about the general increase of inflation. 

https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/10/inflation-remains-low-as-democrat-shutdown-threatens-progress/

One of the misleading articles from the White House website. 

Comments

This is a great fact-check, I appreciate your use of statistics to highlight the truth. Also, using credible sources such as CBS and CNN solidifies your answer.

---

This fact check is awesome. I really like the sources you used. I like how you were able to use your source effectively. This fact check is strong and proves a good point.

Answer 4

This claim is true but I can see how someone could see this claim as being false as well. I think whether inflation has increased or decreased depends on the time frame. If you look at June of 2022 the inflation rate is at a very high 9.2% compared to last month's 3%. This would and does support the claim that inflation has decreased in the U.S. because of how the CPI has gone down nearly 6% over around 3 years. Others may view this claim as false because inflation is currently on the rise as it has gone up .7% since April. But in the large scheme of things it is true that inflation has decreased in America based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index. 

I believe that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is a reliable and authoritative source because it is a federal agency within the U.S. Department of Labor. Even though the U.S. BLS is widely respected and strives to neutral there still could be underrepresentation in the data. National averages may not reflect all individual experiences. Overall based on the credible federal data from what should be a pretty unbiased source like the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics this claim is indeed true.

Comments

I agree with you. The data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that inflation has dropped a lot since 2022, even if prices are still higher overall. I like how you pointed out that the time frame matters, inflation has indeed gone down over a few years, even though it’s ticked up slightly month to month.

Answer 5

This claim is coming from the White House’s website, and is claiming that inflation has eased up this year. The claim is that “inflation has risen modestly” only in core goods, but that inflation has decreased in others. The article then goes to say that claims of tariffs increasing prices are false.

I would like to point out the main claim is that “headline CPI increased at a 1.9 percent annualized rate.”

This claim is false.

According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, “The Consumer Price Index [CPI] for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in September, after rising 0.4 percent in August, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 moths, the all items increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. Note that September CPI data collection was completed before the lapse in appropriations.”

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm#:~:text=Food 

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics automatically refutes the 1.9 percent annualized rate claim, and shows that it is in fact 3.0 percent.

This data can be backed up with a CNN article, “Economists expect the latest data to show that prices for a slew of commonly purchased goods and services rose at a faster-than-typical clip (0.4%) last month. This would lift the annual rate of inflation from 2.9% to 3.1% – the fastest pace in more than a year.”

https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/23/economy/us-cpi-september-inflation-preview

Answer 6

This claim, though stated by the White House, is indeed false. From the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, it is stated that inflation within the last year has increased by 0.3%, instead of the claim that it is decreasing. CNN has also stated that inflation has increased from 2.97% to 3%, showing this 0.3% increase. This inflation is due to both the demand for products as well as the tariffs under Donald Trump's decisions. This can be displayed on a chart from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. When looking into this matter, it was hard to find unbiased documents as if the white house official website is claiming a false fact to be true, what other statements of the government are true/false? I tried to use cites that have statistics as well as charts that simply just put out information for the most part, but I also included a news source that could be biased in general as a public broadcasting system.

The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and the United States Bureau of Labor Statics both are primary sources that, in theory, should not hold any bias, and I believe in this case they do not hold bias because they are sharing public charts and information. However, CNN, a secondary source that I found talking about this, has the potential to be biased, as CNN is a left-leaning news source, meaning they may use statements or wording that is not in favor of Donald Trump or the government at this point in time.

United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm#:~:text=Food%20The%20index%20for%20food,over%20the%20last%2012%20months. 

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, How Tariffs Are Affecting Prices in 2025 | St. Louis Fed

CNN, America’s inflation is back at 3%. That’s higher than normal but not out of control | CNN Business

Answer 7

This statement is partially true. Prices in the U.S. have increased, not decreased but inflation is staying at the targeted levels. According to the International Monetary Fund, the U.S. consumer prices are predicted to rise about 2.7% in 2025. This shows us that the inflation is slowing down, but still going up. (IMF). The ads you see online may show good deals but, they do not show the main trend where the goods and services still have high prices. On the other hand, the claim that prices will continue to rise and harm the economy is over exaggerated, we know this because the IMF also reports that inflation is expected to calm down to a normal level as our economy regains stabilization.

Comments

I agree with your take. The IMF data helps show that inflation is slowing but not gone, which makes sense. I also like that you pointed out how online ads can make it seem like prices are lower than they really are. It’s true that while inflation is stabilizing, most people still feel the pressure from higher costs overall.

Answer 8

This claim is false! In reality inflation has gone up from 2.9% to 3% as represented in Current US Inflation Rates: 2000-2025. The CPI or customer price index which measures the changes in price for consumer goods and services tells us that in September of this year we were up 3% which is .3 high than the previous year. Current US Inflation Rate at 3.0%: Latest CPI Report – Forbes Advisor Has shown us that food prices, energy prices, and shelter costs were up this year which is an indicator of inflation rising. All of these lines up considering the government shut down last month, this is because you could say our economy isn't necessarily the most stable right now. I didn't really since much bias in either of these articles.

Answer 9

This claim is untrue. Although inflation rates did slightly fall from January of 2025, they have climbed since April to match January's peak of a 3.0% inflation rate. This information is all provided by the U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics, a government website, and can be found here:

https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm

It is worth noting that this claim could be misconstrued by a major decrease in inflation rates since 2022, where the inflation rate peaked at 9.1%. However, as of now, inflation is still on the rise.

Answer 10

You're correct to question the claim that inflation in the United States has decreased. As of September 2025, the U.S. inflation rate stood at 3%, marking the highest level since January 2025 and slightly above the previous month's rate of 2.9%. While it's true that some advertisements may highlight deals or lower prices on specific products, these do not necessarily reflect the broader market trends. The overall increase in prices, particularly in areas like energy and food, continues to impact the economy. For instance, gasoline prices surged by 4.1% in September, contributing to the rise in inflation. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has expressed concerns about inflationary pressures, partly due to factors like trade tensions and rising energy costs. These factors suggest that inflation remains a significant concern for the U.S. economy. Therefore, the assertion that inflation has decreased does not align with the current economic data.

https://www.scrippsnews.com/politics/economy/us-inflation-rate-climbs-to-3-in-september-highest-this-year?

https://nypost.com/2025/10/24/business/us-inflation-rises-to-3-in-september-paving-way-for-fed-to-cut-rates-next-week/?

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/article/2025/10/25/after-nine-months-of-trump-s-presidency-us-inflation-returns-but-does-not-derail-economic-policy_6746757_19.html?