Evangelicals could never lose an election

Question

American cable news company Newsmax made this claim:
"If Christians and evangelicals would just vote proportionately to other Democrat-controlled voting blocs, Republicans might "never lose an election,"

Is this claim true?

Answer 1

I don't think there is enough evidence to support this claim being true. However, I would say that this is most likely true as Christians make up around 65% of the United States, and approximately 25-35% of that percentage identifies as evangelical. According to the U.S. Census, the majority of every State is Christian so if these margins stay the same and they all voted together they would indeed win every election. 

Most Christian States 2024

How Religious Are Americans?

Answer 2

The claim that is being made in this article is that if all the Christian in America voted, the Republican party would always win. This is false. While it is true that Christians make up a majority of America's population, back up by a pew-research study, not all Christians vote for the Republican party.  

https://www.pewresearch.org/religious-landscape-study/

This can be found in another pew-research study, which is backed up by similar findings in a PRRI study.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/party-identification-among-religious-groups-and-religiously-unaffiliated-voters/

https://www.prri.org/spotlight/religion-and-the-2024-presidential-election/

Combining the findings from another pew-research study, backed up by similar findings in a PRRI study, White Evangelicals are the group of Christians that lean the hardest to the Republican party, with 84% of them voting red, but Evangelicals are only 23% of the population.  

Protestants as a whole vote red 59% of the time, and Catholics vote red 52% of the time. This is a majority, but not nearly enough for Christians alone to decide an election.