AI will replace 90% of jobs by 2030

Question

This claim was an interesting one and definitely caught my attention because of extreme thought behind it and is not so hard to believe but who know? According to the source I found by, Windows Central, an AI researcher named Roman Yampolskiy warned that we could see this major level of job loss within just a few years due to how fast AI is seen to be advancing. “In a chilling revelation, AI safety expert Roman Yampolskiy warns of a staggering 99.999999% chance that artificial intelligence could lead to humanity’s demise, as top tech companies race blindly toward profitability without understanding the profound implications of their creations.”(Windows Central ). I can see where that fear comes from because AI has both good and bad but as it’s already seen taking over certain roles such as customer service chats, writing tools, and even creative jobs. Seeing how fast this technology is moving it is easy to imagine why people are worrying about almost every job being replaced. 

At the same time, I don’t necessarily think that the 90% number feels realistic. While AI is definitely changing the ways people work, most jobs still require and will need some kind of human input, especially when it comes to creativity, emotional understanding, and decision making. A lot of experts believe that instead of replacing humans entirely, AI can help mostly with how we work when its comes to helping with our tasks and even speeding up certain parts of jobs. So even though the claim makes a strong point about the risks of relying too much on AI technology, I see it more as a warning about how careful we should be when it comes to AI usage and prepare for the ways AI might reshape our future, instead of looking forward to its “complete takeover”. 

Answer 1

This claim is false. Although many jobs are going to be replaced, not 90% of them. According to nexford.edu, "up to 30% of jobs could be automatable." This article disproves the original claim, proving that there will still be many jobs that are not AI. Also from nexford.edu, they listed off many jobs that will probably never be replaced by AI, like teachers, lawyers, judges, CEO's, etc. Even though AI will claim the roles of Salespeople, Customer service representatives, Receptionists, etc., there will still be lots of other opportunities.

https://www.nexford.edu/insights/how-will-ai-affect-jobs

Answer 2

This claim is not true. Yes, AI is definitely and has already had impacts on the workforce, but the claim that it is going to replace 90% of jobs by 2030 is exaggerated and misleading. According to an article by The New York Times, a report done by the World Economic Forum's 2025 Future of Jobs states that, yes, "nine million jobs are expected to be displaced by AI." But with that being said, AI opens up a whole host of new opportunities. "The same report says that, by 2030, the technology will also lead to some 11 million new jobs." (https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/magazine/ai-new-jobs.htm).

A report done by McKinsey Global Institute states that "With generative AI added to the picture, 30 percent of hours worked today could be automated by 2030." 30% is significantly less than 90%. (https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/generative-ai-and-the-future-of-work-in-america). The McKinsey Global Institute is a reliable source for business and economic research compared to the source that is linked to this original claim, which is Windows Central, which has had criticism of its editorial standards.

https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/generative-ai-and-the-future-of-work-in-america

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/magazine/ai-new-jobs.html

Answer 3

Roman Yampoliskiy, the director of the Cyber Security Laboratory at the University of Louisville, claims that 99% of jobs will be replaced by AI due to its convenience, cost-effectiveness, and inevitability of its future. He made statements like: “AI is way better at designing prompts for other AIs than any human. So that's gone,” or “I was convinced we can make safe AI, but the more I looked at it, the more I realized it's not something we can actually do. These are unsupported statements, seemingly more opinionated than fact-based. Although he is a reputable source throughout his profession, this is one man’s opinion on the current situation with the information given to us. Looking up  “90-99% job loss due to AI” comes up with nothing else besides articles that talk about his claims. Clearly, no one else has concluded to the number 99%. His perspective seems to be one intended to wrongfully scare the public.

https://www.windowscentral.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-expert-warns-99-percent-job-loss-by-2030

By doing a quick Google search, we can see that there are other claims stating that AI will be the reason for 41% job cuts, which is a much lower number. The articles claiming 41% job loss are ones supported by data, such as this CNN article. CNN describes how large companies alongside WEF's future job reports state that “Close to 70% of companies are planning to hire new workers with skills to design AI tools and enhancements, and 62% intend to recruit more people with skills to better work alongside AI”. This information even states that jobs will be created to counteract this issue. Another report corroborates these statements by saying that AI could create 78 million jobs than it eliminates by 2030.

https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/08/business/ai-job-losses-by-2030-intl

https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/01/ai-could-create-78-million-more-jobs-than-it-eliminates-by-2030-report/

We can conclude that the statement “AI will replace 90% of jobs by 2030” is false and misleading. Although job loss for some may become an issue, it is not necessary to cause panic by claiming that most jobs will be replaced by AI or robots. 

Answer 4

The assertion that AI will replace 90% of jobs by 2030 is misleading and overstated. Although AI is expected to impact the workforce significantly, current research paints a more nuanced picture. A 2017 McKinsey & Company report estimated that up to 30% of jobs could be automated by 2030, with 60% of jobs experiencing significant changes in tasks (McKinsey & Company, 2017). Likewise, the World Economic Forum (2025) predicts that AI could displace 92 million jobs but also create 170 million new roles, resulting in a net positive employment effect. Deloitte (2025) notes that claims of a 90% replacement rate refer to the automation of task components within jobs, not to the complete elimination of jobs. This distinction matters because automation often alters how work is done rather than eliminating entire jobs. Secondary sources, such as Nexford University (2025) and Forbes, stress the importance of upskilling and adaptability to AI-driven changes. Overall, AI will undoubtedly reshape labor markets, but the claim that 90% of jobs will vanish by 2030 lacks strong evidence. The real influence will likely involve task automation and job transformation, not total job loss. These insights underscore the need for proactive workforce strategies, including skill development and continuous learning, to thrive in an economy increasingly driven by AI.

Comments

I think using reliable sources and providing clear explanations is effective.
Including links to each source also helps readers understand the information more easily.

Answer 5

The claim that AI will take 90% of jobs is false. According to this article by Forbes, which uses a report from McMcKinsey, 30% of US jobs could be automated. Not only that, but 60% of jobs will be altered by AI. This prediction is greatly different from the claim the tech “genius” made. He also claims that we are about 5 years away from humanoid robots doing physical labor for us. The website, Medium, claims that robots will be taking nearly all manual jobs. However, according to the interesting engineering, the process isn't going to happen instantly but rather gradually. This is mostly concerning jobs like those in warehouses, which we see already happening.

Another thing this guy fails to bring up is how AI is creating new jobs. He makes it seem to be all bad, but according to the World Academic Forum, is that we can expect AI to create 170 million new jobs. We also expect AI to displace 92 million jobs. But even with this lost that means we will still be up by 78 million jobs. That’s 78 million jobs to expect in 2030. This proves even more that the guys claim is false.

Answer 6

After reading a few different articles on this topic I have found that it is misleading. While the usage of AI in our world right now is increasing and popping up in new unexpected places and probably will take over jobs in our future it won’t be as many as this claim suggests. Some jobs such as sales and customer service jobs that are done more over a device may get replaced by AI, in an article from CNN it states that “41% of employers intend to downsize their workforce as AI automates certain tasks,” and an article from Forbes says that “Estimates suggest that up to 60% of current jobs will require significant adaptation due to AI.” Both of which suggest that the number of jobs being replaced will be significantly less than 90%. However besides the estimated numbers we also have to think about jobs that cannot be replaced by AI like labor intensive jobs or jobs that require a human mind, meaning more creative or with the ability to understand the thoughts and emotions behind another human, behind them. Also AI is predicted to create a few jobs and not just take because there will need to be people behind the AI technology for upkeep and monitoring.

Sources

• https://edisonandblack.com/pages/over-97-million-jobs-set-to-be-created-by-ai.html

• https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/08/business/ai-job-losses-by-2030-intl

• https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2025/04/25/the-jobs-that-will-fall-first-as-ai-takes-over-the-workplace/

• https://www.nexford.edu/insights/how-will-ai-affect-jobs

Answer 7

This claim is false and generates panic. Although AI is quickly changing the employment landscape, news outlets and other major institutions are calling in all their so-called AI experts to make lofty claims; from slashing 300 million jobs in the next 10 years (Goldman Sachs report), to generating 170 million new jobs (World Economic Forum) in the next decade. 

 

Breaking down the numbers being thrown around, The World Economic Forum’s Future of Jobs Report 2025 predicts AI’s impact on the job market using surveys of over 1,000 global employers, labor market projections, and analysis of changing skills requirements. It estimates that AI and other technologies could create 170 million new jobs by 2030 while displacing 92 million, leading to a net increase of 78 million jobs. The report also emphasizes the growing importance of technological and soft skills to help workers adapt to these changes.

To make an overarching claim that all industries will be completely tanked by AI in the next few years is absurd. While it’s definitely going to shape generations to come, AI is still human-powered and human-maintained, and will be for a long time. Not to mention its current imperfections (MIT Management), complete reliance on AI right away is an unfeasible goal for large, medium, and small employers alike.

Answer 8

This claim is false. While AI is and will continue to replace jobs, 90% is an exaggeration. 

In an article and report done by McKinsey Global Institute they it is said that in a third of 60% of jobs could become completely AI ran. "We previously found that about half the activities people are paid to do globally could theoretically be automated using currently demonstrated technologies. Very few occupations—less than 5 percent—consist of activities that can be fully automated." https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/jobs-lost-jobs-gained-what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages This means that while AI may be taking over, there is still quite a bit a room currently for humans in the work force.

An article from Forbes also uses statics from McKinsey. It notes that 30% of jobs could become AI dominated and 60% percent of jobs partially including AI tools, but that only 45% of jobs could become completely AI run by 45%. These statistic are far less than the 90% that this claim notes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2025/04/25/the-jobs-that-will-fall-first-as-ai-takes-over-the-workplace/

Another article of Forbes lists jobs that will be completely AI, it still says that: "Statistics show that AI will replace 300 million jobs, and 41% of companies worldwide plan to reduce their workforce by 2030." While AI threatens more and more jobs everyday, it is not close yet to completely taking over. There are still areas in the work force that include jobs that AI is incapable of doing. This information all shows that while it may seem AI will take over most jobs, 90% is an inaccurate and false statistic. https://www.forbes.com/sites/bryanrobinson/2025/07/04/10-careers-ai-will-replace-in-the-next-5-years/

 

Answer 9

This claim is blatantly false. AI has already begun to replace jobs in the workforce, but many future jobs will still be held by humans. The percentage is highly exaggerated, making it seem like AI will soon take over all available jobs, but in reality, the source from which the claim originates suggests that AI will lead to humanity's demise, not necessarily meaning that it will replace human jobs. Even so, the number used is not valid. According to the National University, by the year, 30% of current U.S. jobs could be fully automated”. This number is far less than the claim suggests. 

Although AI has and is predicted to have an impact on the job market and employment, the predicted number of those impacted is far less than the staggering claim of 90 percent. Many jobs are near impossible to take by AI. Based on the US Career Institute, these jobs include “ones that require human qualities that a robot cannot replicate, such as social skills, emotional intelligence, and interpersonal relationships”. It is safe to say that well over 10 percent of jobs will be available for humans by the year 2030. Humans currently take over the workforce, and will still be very much needed moving forward.

Answer 10

The claim is partly accurate, based on multiple sources including Nexford University, Goldman Sachs Research, and Forbes. 

Goldman Sachs estimates that if AI is widely adopted, it could displace 6-7% of the US workforce. But the impact is likely to be temporary as new job opportunities created by the technology ultimately put people to work in other capacities. If current AI use cases were expanded across the economy, only an estimated 2.5% of US employment would be at risk of related job loss. Most importantly "To date, low adoption is limiting the overall labor-market impacts from AI. Goldman Sachs economists found no significant statistical correlation between AI exposure and a host of economic measures, including job growth, unemployment rates, job finding rates, layoff rates, growth in weekly hours, or average hourly earnings growth." 

https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/how-will-ai-affect-the-global-workforce

Nexford University cites a Goldman Sachs report showing that AI could replace the equivalent of 300 million full time jobs globally. Which is sound alarming until understanding that the report predicts two-thirds of jobs in the U.S. and Europe “are exposed to some degree of AI automation,” and around a quarter of all jobs could be performed by AI entirely. However, "exposed to automation" means some tasks within jobs could be controlled, not that people will be unemployed. In conclusion "by 2030, at least 14% of employees globally could need to change their careers due to digitization, robotics, and AI advancements." This represents 14% needing a career change, not 99% unemployment. 

https://www.nexford.edu/insights/how-will-ai-affect-jobs#:~:text=Artificial%20intelligence%20(AI)%20could%20replace,digitization%2C%20robotics%2C%20and%20AI%20advancements

Forbes predicts that by 2040, between 50% - 60% of existing jobs could be transformed and that by 2050, up to 80% could change significantly if technological innovation continues at its current pace. However, Forbes also notes "remain competitive, invest in skills like critical thinking and digital fluency."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2025/04/25/the-jobs-that-will-fall-first-as-ai-takes-over-the-workplace/