AI will replace 90% of jobs by 2030

Question

This claim was an interesting one and definitely caught my attention because of extreme thought behind it and is not so hard to believe but who know? According to the source I found by, Windows Central, an AI researcher named Roman Yampolskiy warned that we could see this major level of job loss within just a few years due to how fast AI is seen to be advancing. “In a chilling revelation, AI safety expert Roman Yampolskiy warns of a staggering 99.999999% chance that artificial intelligence could lead to humanity’s demise, as top tech companies race blindly toward profitability without understanding the profound implications of their creations.”(Windows Central ). I can see where that fear comes from because AI has both good and bad but as it’s already seen taking over certain roles such as customer service chats, writing tools, and even creative jobs. Seeing how fast this technology is moving it is easy to imagine why people are worrying about almost every job being replaced. 

At the same time, I don’t necessarily think that the 90% number feels realistic. While AI is definitely changing the ways people work, most jobs still require and will need some kind of human input, especially when it comes to creativity, emotional understanding, and decision making. A lot of experts believe that instead of replacing humans entirely, AI can help mostly with how we work when its comes to helping with our tasks and even speeding up certain parts of jobs. So even though the claim makes a strong point about the risks of relying too much on AI technology, I see it more as a warning about how careful we should be when it comes to AI usage and prepare for the ways AI might reshape our future, instead of looking forward to its “complete takeover”. 

Answer 1

This claim is considered to be false.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2025/04/25/the-jobs-that-will-fall-first-as-ai-takes-over-the-workplace/

https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/generative-ai-and-the-future-of-work-in-america

Forbes states that the McKinsey report indicates 30% of current jobs in the U.S. will be automated by 2030, with 60% of those undergoing significant changes due to AI tools. Therefore, 90% of jobs will not be replaced by AI by 2030.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/magazine/ai-new-jobs.html

Incidentally, according to the New York Times, 9 million jobs are expected by AI and other emerging technologies over the next five years. However, AI also creates jobs. By 2030, AI is projected to generate approximately 11 million new jobs.

While AI development enriches our lives, it can also instill fear of job loss. Indeed, the Windows Central article, which is the source of this topic, uses words that exaggerate the facts and strike fear. In this context, knowing the fact that AI creates new jobs is highly significant.

Answer 2

The claim that 99% of jobs are likely to be replaced by AI is largely exaggerated. While there is no way to know exactly how AI will affect the job market, most reliable sources don't claim that almost all will be taken. McKinsy Global Institute states that by 2030, 30% percent of work hours could be automated. This is nowhere near the level stated in the article. The World Economic Forum claims that by 2030, 92 million jobs are expected to be displaced. However they also expect around 170 new jobs to emerge. These sources are far more reliable than one persons expectations as explained in the original article. 

Answer 3

It's true that AI is capable of replacing many jobs, but it's proved false that AI could replace 90% of jobs by 2030. Multiple sources suggest a lower percentage, such as Nexford University, which states, "A study by the Mckinsey Global Institute reports that by 2030, at least 14% of employees globally could need to change their careers due to digitization, robotics, and AI advancements." Other sources, such as Forbes, mentions that, "By 2030, 30% of current U.S jobs could be automated." Adding onto that, an article from National University explains how AI creates jobs as well. That being said, the number of jobs being taken over won't be as high as 90%.

Sources:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2025/04/25/the-jobs-that-will-fall-first-as-ai-takes-over-the-workplace/

https://www.nu.edu/blog/ai-job-statistics/#:~:text=Bank%20tellers%20and%20cashiers%20are,4.7%25%20from%202023%20to%202033.

https://www.nexford.edu/insights/how-will-ai-affect-jobs

Answer 4

The claim that AI will replace 90% of jobs by 2030 is largely untrue and exaggerated. I fact-checked this with the source Nexford University with their How Will Artificial Intelligence change the World article. In their article, they state that by 2030/mid 2030s, up to 30% of jobs could be automatable. Another reputable source, an article published by WITI on LinkedIn reports that 375 million workers (14% of the workplace) will be forced out of their jobs by AI in 2030. While many jobs are going to be replaced by AI, it is not as drastic as the 90% of jobs that is stated in the claim.

https://www.nexford.edu/insights/how-will-ai-affect-jobs#jobs-lost-to-ai-2030

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-driven-agentification-work-impact-jobs-20242030-poweredbywiti-zbyfc