This claim, while somewhat exaggerated, is supported by evidence, though its implications may be overstated. J.L. Partners, in collaboration with the Daily Mail, conducted a poll in which approximately 765,000 people said they would leave New York City if Zohran Mamdani were elected mayor, which is about 9% of the city’s population. While J.L. Partners generally produces credible and methodologically sound polls, their surveys typically carry a margin of error of around 3%, varying from poll to poll. Moreover, James Johnson, a pollster and political adviser with J.L. Partners, has suggested that the accuracy of such extreme claims by respondents is uncertain. Although the poll appears reliable in reporting its findings, the specific parameters of the survey are not easily accessible. Finally, given that the Daily Mail is widely regarded as a right-leaning publication and the context involves a left-wing candidate, it is reasonable to approach the results with a degree of caution.
Claiming a possible “mass exodus” with only one poll reiterated throughout a few sources as evidence is exaggerated. While 765,000 New York Residents did report a willingness to leave the city if Zohran Mamdani won the mayoral election according to a poll by J.L. Partners and the Daily Mail, more research and support should be provided before making such drastic claims.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15235135/Mamdani-New-York-exodus-mayoral-race.html
https://katu.com/news/nation-world/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-candidate-almost-a-million-people-will-flee-new-york-city-poll-kathy-hochul-andrew-cuomo-barack-obama-curtis-sliwa
