According to a poll, nearly 1 million New Yorkers are ready to flee NYC if Zohran Mamdani becomes mayor.

Question

Nearly a million New Yorkers ready to flee NYC if Mamdani becomes mayor — possibly igniting mass exodus: poll

Answer 1

This claim, while somewhat exaggerated, is supported by evidence, though its implications may be overstated. J.L. Partners, in collaboration with the Daily Mail, conducted a poll in which approximately 765,000 people said they would leave New York City if Zohran Mamdani were elected mayor, which is about 9% of the city’s population. While J.L. Partners generally produces credible and methodologically sound polls, their surveys typically carry a margin of error of around 3%, varying from poll to poll. Moreover, James Johnson, a pollster and political adviser with J.L. Partners, has suggested that the accuracy of such extreme claims by respondents is uncertain. Although the poll appears reliable in reporting its findings, the specific parameters of the survey are not easily accessible. Finally, given that the Daily Mail is widely regarded as a right-leaning publication and the context involves a left-wing candidate, it is reasonable to approach the results with a degree of caution.

Claiming a possible “mass exodus” with only one poll reiterated throughout a few sources as evidence is exaggerated. While 765,000 New York Residents did report a willingness to leave the city if Zohran Mamdani won the mayoral election according to a poll by J.L. Partners and the Daily Mail, more research and support should be provided before making such drastic claims. 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15235135/Mamdani-New-York-exodus-mayoral-race.html

https://katu.com/news/nation-world/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-candidate-almost-a-million-people-will-flee-new-york-city-poll-kathy-hochul-andrew-cuomo-barack-obama-curtis-sliwa

Comments

Amazing fact check and good sources, but also good use of data from the articles you found.

Answer 2

While this claim is exaggerated, it is somewhat true. The New York Post has a history of writing "sensational" stories, which means you should always fact-check what they are saying. The Daily Mail has a similar issue and is known for being right-leaning. When it comes to politics, always double-check. The word "flee" is a little extreme. I wasn't able to find the exact poll that the article refers to, which makes me question the article even further. J.L. Partners, the source of the poll, is relatively reliable. Media bias fact-checkers online give them high ratings. While the claim isn't technically false, the lack of supporting sources and the use of laoded language causes it to be exagerated. More research needs ot be done and reported on in order to make this a reliable claim. 

Answer 3

After reviewing a few sources, this claim is somewhat true but pretty misleading. The New York Post source provided with the claim mentions a poll done by J.L. Partners shows 9% of New York City residents would “definitely” leave the city if Mamdani won the 2025 mayoral election (Pollina, 2025). Although it is important to note that the Daily Mail first reported this poll to the public, and they have had a history of being right-wing leaning and sharing exaggerated news coverage. When searching for other sources talking about this poll or the “mass exodus of New Yorkers,” if Mamdani wins are very scarce. The only coverage is from biased voices through opinion pieces, right-leaning sources/without strong fact-checking. Overall, yes, a poll was done that had results portraying around 7,000,000 New Yorkers would choose to leave if Zohran Mamdani becomes NYC’s mayor, but we can’t just rely on one poll without a lot of research or credibility to back up a claim as big as this.