Your comment does a really strong job of adding nuance to the original claim, especially by separating what is technically accurate from what may be misleading in context. One thing I’d build on, though, is how much weight we should give to the source of that $30 million figure.
Since the estimate comes from a Morgan Stanley analyst rather than The Walt Disney Company itself, it’s important to recognize that it’s still an external projection, not a confirmed internal loss figure. Even though multiple outlets like Business Insider and Fox Business reported similar numbers, they’re all ultimately tracing back to that same analyst estimate. So the claim is supported, but not independently verified by Disney.