You did a good job tracing this claim back to The Guardian and the UN official’s statement. It’s clear that this statistic has a credible origin, but it would be helpful to explore the methodology behind the 14,000 figure. For example, is this based on projected mortality rates tied to specific medical supplies, or is it broader? Providing more context on how this number was calculated would strengthen your fact-check, especially when dealing with such a significant claim. Regardless, this is truly a devastating scenario.