AI will take a large share of jobs in America by 2035

Question

McKinsey & Company projects that automation, particularly via generative AI — could handle up to 30 % of current work hours by 2030. This claim is true with a great amount of studies supporting it. The fact is that generative AI can handle language, data processing, pattern recognition and even creative tasks. This leads to a large expansion within the range of automatable work, as this goes beyond just routine manual tasks. McKinsey notes that tasks involving expertise, interaction, documentation and supervision were once thought to be safe but now all fall under the scope of AI capability. For workers, this suggests that increasing importance of adaptability and lifelong learning are going to be necessary in standing out within the workforce. On the other hand, employers will be forced to redesign jobs and workflows by integrating the impact of AI in order to manage the transition smoothly.

Answer 1

Think of this as your investigation log. Answer each question to explain what you discovered and how you got there.

1. Write a brief overall summary of your findings.
2. What primary sources did you find (e.g., transcripts, videos of politician speeches, tweets from public figures, scientific studies)? For each source, write at least one or two sentences explaining what you learned. Include all links.
3. What secondary sources did you find (e.g., newspapers, magazines)? Only use secondary sources if sufficient primary sources are not available. For each source, write at least one or two sentences explaining what you learned. Include all links.
4. What potential biases or interests might each of your sources have?
5. What evidence supports the claim you are fact-checking?
6. What evidence undermines the claim you are fact-checking?
7. What happened when you tried contacting the person or group who made the original claim? (Always try to contact them—it’s okay if you don’t get a reply. For example, if the claim is that the president said something, try reaching out to the administration. If it was a Bluesky user, message that user on Bluesky.)

Comments

There is strong research showing that a significant share of jobs are exposed to AI or automation by 2030 to 2035, in the US and globally. Here is evidence that supports this. Forbes (https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2025/04/25/the-jobs-that-will-fall-first-as-ai-takes-over-the-workplace/) states that "A McKinsey report projects that by 2030, 30% of current U.S. jobs could be automated, with 60% significantly altered by AI tools. Goldman Sachs predicts up that to 50% of jobs could be fully automated by 2045, driven by generative AI and robotics." More research from The International Monetary Fund states that AI “will affect almost 40 % of jobs around the world, replacing some and complementing others.” However, This means a large portion of American workers will see their jobs either transformed or replaced by ai, particularly in sectors like customer service, data entry, and manufacturing. Economists emphasize that while AI will eliminate certain repetitive or low skill jobs, it will also create new roles in areas such as machine learning operations, data analysis, cybersecurity, and AI maintenance. This transition won’t be even though, workers without access to retraining or technical education could face job loss or wage pressure. By 2035, experts predict that tens of millions of American workers will need to switch occupations due to AI work in the labor market.

Answer 2

It seems many economists are pretty sure of AI's ability to make a sizable entry into global business by the start of the next decade. Covid started any interesting trend that saw the employment rate in many fields drop, especially those in entry-level, service fields. This started a trend that led many economists to the conclusion that employment rates and need for those positions to be filled by people will continue to dwindle until the end of the decade. A 2025 Forbes article by Jack Kelly (https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2025/04/25/the-jobs-that-will-fall-first-as-ai-takes-over-the-workplace/) notes the findings of a 2024 study by the Institute for Public Policy research stating "60% of current U.S jobs could be automated", and goes on to say: "These roles, requiring repetitive data processing, face near-term obsolescence as AI’s accuracy and scalability improve. Bookkeeping, financial modeling, and basic data analysis are highly vulnerable." 

While speculations beyond 2035 vary, it is safe to say that the industry sees a near future for the business world where AI is virtually unavoidable.

Answer 3

Nextford University said that instead of AI replacing jobs, it will create more opportunities for people. “AI has the profound impact to deliver additional global economic activity of around $13 trillion in the foreseeable future and by 2030,” Nexford says, sharing a more positive side of AI that I personally don't usually see. Now, this might be a biased website, and they choose to talk about a lot of the positive effects that it’s technology will have on our industries and not so much our society’s individuals, but they also seem to think that it will have a positive impact on the job industry. 

Hypotenuse AI says that “AI is expected to replace 2.4 million US jobs by 2030,” which is a large share, but since “large” is such a vague word here, this is up for interpretation. This is a website that is based on the use of ai, so the bias of this site probably plays a very big factor in their perspective on this topic.

I think that yes, AI will take a large share of jobs in America by 2035, but because the word large is not defined by a statistic, this claim could be misconstrued, but overall I do think in 10 years this claim will ring true.