+13 votes
in General Factchecking by Novice (890 points)
The increasing divergence between neighborhoods creates a dissonant backdrop for the ideological debate that's raging around Chicago's crime problem. Overall, Chicago’s per-capita murder rate is higher than in New York City or Los Angeles, but is lower than in Midwestern cities such as Detroit, Milwaukee and St. Louis.
by Novice (520 points)
According to an article published by Property Club, Chicago is the last on the list of the top 13 most dangerous cities in the US as of 2024. However, according to data published by The Hill, Chicago did not appear as one of the top cities with the highest crime cost per capita. According to the World Population Review, "a city with a high violent crime rate does not indicate that the entire city is unsafe." So, in a sense, it is true that Chicago is ONE of the most dangerous cities in the U.S. but certainly not the worst.

32 Answers

+9 votes
by Journeyman (2.0k points)
selected by
 
Best answer

The statement is accurate. According to the latest available crime statistics from the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting program, Chicago's per-capita murder rate in 2019 was higher than New York City or Los Angeles but lower than several Midwestern cities such as Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Louis. The rate of violent crime in Chicago has fluctuated in recent years, but the city has consistently had one of the highest murder rates in the country. The increasing divergence between neighborhoods in Chicago, as mentioned in the article, has been a concern for many residents and policymakers as it contributes to social and economic inequality.

True
by Genius (41.0k points)
Do you have a link for your source? Always provide links to where you found your information. Thanks!
by Novice (610 points)
It's a good factcheck, but do you have any numbers or specifics for the information you've given?
by Apprentice (1.1k points)
Attaching an article link or website that backs of your claim would be incredibly helpful, however your addition of the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting program seems to be a great explanation to your claim. Solid fact-check, would love to see further source links to look in to this further. Thanks!
by Novice (590 points)
I agree with your opinion, but if you provide the link is much better.
by Apprentice (1.5k points)
Thank you for your answer! That being said, I think having data to back up your claim would be better. It would also help to define clearly what "counts" as part of Chicago, as the sprawling Chicagoland area and suburbs are sometimes also considered to be "part of Chicago." Having a clear idea of which parts of Chicago specifically have higher crime rates would be more informative and less conflagratory/fear-monger-y, I think!
by Novice (920 points)
I appreciate your fact-check! However, I was wondering if there was a link or citation for the sources used. I also would appreciate it if there were statistics to validate your claim.
by Apprentice (1.0k points)
Attaching numbers for the statistics and links for the articles could help to improve your fact check. It's hard to be sure on the credibility of sources that aren't listed.
by Novice (690 points)
This is a good FactCheck! but I would be curious to see your sources when it comes to this information is their any statistical data that could be provided?
+7 votes
by Novice (820 points)

 Based on the latest FBI Crime Data, Chicago ranks as the #44 safest out of 320 major cities over 100,000 people in the United States. However, based on the violent crime rate, Chicago is the 20th most dangerous city in the United States.

True
by Novice (740 points)
I believe that even though it is the 20th most dangerous city, the claim above is still exaggerated. This is a great factcheck though!
by Apprentice (1.1k points)
The way it's referred to as Chiraq, you'd think it was easily number 1 in the USA in crime, but far from it, especially when accounting for its population.
by Apprentice (1.2k points)
I think the claim seems a bit dramatic, but is still over all true, since being the 20th most dangerous is still really high.
+2 votes
by Novice (930 points)

This claim is accurate. Property Club states, "Chicago constantly makes the news as one of America’s most dangerous and violent cities. With a population of 2,746,388, Chicago has a crime rate of 3,926 per 100,000 people, making it 67% more dangerous than the US average." Chicago is listed 10th on this list, and much of the violence is related to gang relations.

https://propertyclub.nyc/article/most-dangerous-cities-in-the-us#:~:text=10.-,Chicago%2C%20Illinois,dangerous%20than%20the%20US%20average.

by Genius (41.0k points)
Where does Property Club get its data? I couldn't find any citation or source information on the page you linked to.
by Novice (590 points)
I also use this data, I think the data is true based on people's idea.
by Novice (560 points)
Why did you use Property Club as a source? They are a real estate company based out of New York, and they did not apply any citations for the statistics on why Chicago is dangerous.
by Apprentice (1.0k points)
What source or research does Property club use to get its data? While it may be a source, finding out how they get their information may make or break your claim.
by Novice (990 points)
Thanks for linking your source! Do you know where Property Club got this data? It might be helpful to include the original study as a source as well.
+5 votes
by Novice (840 points)
source: https://propertyclub.nyc/article/most-dangerous-cities-in-the-us#:~:text=10.-,Chicago%2C%20Illinois,dangerous%20than%20the%20US%20average.

According to this article, "Chicago constantly makes the news as one of America's most dangerous and violent cities. With a population of 2,746,388, Chicago has a crime rate of 3,926 per 100,000 people, making it 67% more dangerous than the US average"
True
by Genius (41.0k points)
Where does Property Club get its data? I couldn't find any citation or source information on the page you linked to.
+8 votes
by Novice (880 points)

There is no doubt Chicago has increasing crime rates, struggling to keep a safe and welcoming image to the public. However, Forbes just put out their ranking for the most dangerous cities in America for 2023, and Chicago did not even make it in the top 15 list. St. Louis took the lead ranking in as the most dangerous city in America. 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/laurabegleybloom/2023/01/31/report-ranks-americas-15-safest-and-most-dangerous-cities-for-2023/?sh=73637fc1309a

Exaggerated/ Misleading
by Genius (41.0k points)
Thanks for finding a reputable source to base your fact-check on. I wonder how one would determine what qualifies as "one of the most" dangerous cities. Top 15 like you suggested or top 50, for instance?
by Novice (740 points)
I  completely agree with this statement, and it uses a very reliable source.
by Novice (700 points)
I agree with the source you used. I had a similar reasoning to why I did not fully agree with the statement since there are different ways to quantify crime rates.
by Apprentice (1.1k points)
Forbes is quite reputable, a very good journalistic source.
by Apprentice (1.9k points)
I agree with the source you used. It is a reliable source and has good data.
by Apprentice (1.0k points)
This is a source I searched up while fact-checking the above claim. Every ranking is a little bit different which is why I didn't personally use it when researching.
by Novice (770 points)
I agree with your statement. The information you provided seems to be accurate and checks out with the sources you provided. This was a very helpful fact check.
by Novice (520 points)
This statement is true. While the crime rates are continuously rising and surely are troubling, it is not as bad compared to other cities in the U.S. with higher crime rates.
by Apprentice (1.3k points)
How does one determine what makes a city the most dangerous. Would it have to do with just crime rate or a combination of other factors such as infrastructure or policing policies.
+2 votes
by Apprentice (1.1k points)
This is true. Chicago has one of the highest crime rates and murder rates in the United States. This trend continues into 2023, with Chicago being the 10th highest city for murders across the entire US thus far.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/us-city-rankings/cities-with-most-murders
True
+6 votes
by Apprentice (1.8k points)
edited by
According to MonkeyGeek (backed up by Forbes), this statement is exaggerated/misleading. While the Chicago Business article compares Chicago with NY and LA under the assumption that those cities have the highest crime rates, it doesn't compare Chicago with other U.S. Cities. While Chicago Business (linked in the original post) is correct in stating that Chicago crime is getting worse and homicide rates are growing worse than NY and LA recently, and while crime is considered high in certain areas of Chicago, it would be misleading to say that Chicago is one of the most dangerous cities in the U.S.

According to the University of Chicago's Crime Lab graph (source: https://www.chicagobusiness.com/crains-forum-safer-chicago/chicago-violence-problem-debate-safety-inequality ), Chicago homicide rates have increased from 2000 to now, towering above New York and LA's. In addition, much crime in Chicago has been increasing when compared to New York and LA specifically.

However, Forbes' list of 2023's most dangerous cities measured "dangerous" by per-capita crime. St. Louis has consistently ranked as the most dangerous according to per-capita crime. ( https://www.forbes.com/sites/laurabegleybloom/2023/01/31/report-ranks-americas-15-safest-and-most-dangerous-cities-for-2023/?sh=5f28fa6b309a )

According to Forbes' per-capita count (sourced from MonkeyGeek), these are the 15 most dangerous cities (Chicago not included): St. Louis, Missouri; Birmingham, Alabama; Baltimore, Maryland; Memphis, Tennessee; Detroit, Michigan; Cleveland, Ohio; New Orleans, Louisiana; Shreveport, Louisiana; Baton Rouge, Louisiana; Little Rock, Arkansas; Oakland, California; Milwaukee, Wisconsin; Kansas City, Missouri; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and Richmond, Virginia. ( https://www.moneygeek.com/living/safest-cities/ )

By another measure, Forbes also indicated a list of the top 5 cities with the most mass shootings, and Chicago was not on the list of the top 5. These were the results: Boulder, Colorado; San Jose, California; Indianapolis, Indiana; Atlanta, Georgia; and Colorado Springs, Colorado. ( https://www.moneygeek.com/living/safest-cities/ )

Depending on your definition of "most dangerous cities," you could argue Chicago is closer to "dangerous" on a scale of "safe" to "dangerous," but today, it does not rank in the top 15 most dangerous cities of crime per-capita nor in the top 5 cities for most mass shootings.
Exaggerated/ Misleading
by Apprentice (1.1k points)
Great factcheck! You used a lot of good sources and I believe that misleading could be possible for this claim. Being outside of the top 15 still probably indicates danger but maybe not to the extent of the claim.
by Apprentice (1.9k points)
I agree with your reasoning. All the sources you used are very good as well and using multiple sources really helps your argument.
by Novice (770 points)
This is a fantastic factcheck. Here, you have provided ample evidence of thorough research. You have determined that the originally claim was true with the evidence that you have provided.
by Novice (690 points)
This is a really good check! It was very detailed and I appreciated how you explained each source!
+2 votes
by Novice (670 points)
edited by
Yes, Chicago is one of the most dangerous cities in the U.S. According to Howard University, there were 765 murders in Chicago in 2016. That was the highest amount in the country. This article also mentions frequent cases of gang violence and rape. This source however does not classify Chicago as in the top 10 for the most murderous cities. With Chicago's murder rate at 28 deaths per 100,000 people, some cities do rank higher.

https://hunewsservice.com/news/is-chicago-americas-most-dangerous-city/

According to Pew Research Center, St Louis does have the highest murder rate. Chicago ranks 14th among cities with at least 100,000 people in 2017.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2018/11/13/despite-recent-violence-chicago-far-from-u-s-murder-capital/

Chicago may not top for the highest amount of crime rates, but it frequently tops for the highest amounts of crime in the U.S. Since 2012, Chicago has led the U.S. in murder totals, making it one of the most dangerous cities in the nation.
True
by Novice (700 points)
Great source! It is good that you had multiple sources for different subjects in your answer.
by Novice (520 points)
This was a reliable and accurate statement to include! According to the data, everything proves that there is a substantial amount of crime in Chicago which yes, does make it just one of the many dangerous cities.
+2 votes
by Apprentice (1.8k points)
Chicago's crime rate is high compared to other major U.S. cities, with a murder rate of about 18 per 100,000 people in 2020, higher than the national average of 6.9 per 100,000 people. However, the crime rate signifying it as a dangerous city is not evenly distributed throughout the city, with some neighborhoods being much safer than others. In recent years, Chicago's crime has been declining, with murder rates decreasing by over forty percent in the past 5 years.

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-geography-of-crime-in-four-u-s-cities-perceptions-and-reality/

https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2017/06/21/is-chicago-really-americas-most-dangerous-city-infographic/?sh=12e464ef50da

https://www.security.org/resources/most-dangerous-cities/
Exaggerated/ Misleading
+1 vote
by Newbie (450 points)
This claim in accurate. This article talks about U.S. cities with the most crime and are the most dangerous. Chicago is consistently ranked in the top 10 of most dangerous cities in the U.S. More specifically, this article puts Chicago at #3 with the most amount of violent crimes, #2 for robbery, and #1 for intentional murder (with almost double the amount of the #2 city).

https://www.security.org/resources/most-dangerous-cities/
by Apprentice (1.1k points)
I like how you added in specific metrics to make your argument more convincing. These metrics put the danger into context well.

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